Today’s Best MLB Home Run Prop Bets: Top 3 including Julio Rodriguez, Teoscar Hernandez, and more for October 15, 2025
Two-Game Slate Tonight: ALCS Game 4 & NLCS Game 3
Tonight’s MLB action features a compelling two-game slate: ALCS Game 4 between the Seattle Mariners and Toronto Blue Jays, with the series knotted at 2-2, and NLCS Game 3 pitting the Los Angeles Dodgers against the Milwaukee Brewers, where the Dodgers hold a 2-0 advantage.
Yesterday’s slate delivered all three of our picks that went deep, and tonight’s matchups again favor power in key spots. We’ve analyzed recent form, matchup splits, batted-ball metrics, starter usage, and bullpen carryover to build a matchup-first look at five key players:
– Teoscar Hernandez
– Julio Rodriguez
– Dalton Varsho
– Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
– Jorge Polanco
Below is the research-backed case for each pick, including key risks and considerations for wager sizing.
*Note: Odds are set by DraftKings Sportsbook and are subject to change. No outcome can be guaranteed when betting on sports.*
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### Today’s Best MLB Home Run Prop Bets
#### #5. Teoscar Hernandez (+394)
Teoscar Hernandez continues to prove why October baseball suits his swing perfectly. The Dodgers’ slugger crushed a solo homer in Game 2 of the NLCS, solidifying his reputation as a reliable postseason power threat. As a middle-to-late-inning power bat facing likely bullpen shuffles, Hernandez benefits from lineup protection, giving him multiple chances to see hittable pitches. With locked-in timing and a recent power surge, Hernandez stands out as the top home run prop of the day at +394.
#### #4. Jorge Polanco (+437)
Jorge Polanco has quietly become Seattle’s postseason difference-maker, delivering clutch power from both sides of the plate. After a strong 2025 regular season (.265 average, 26 HR, .821 OPS), he has carried that form into October, launching a go-ahead homer in ALCS Game 2 and contributing significantly in the ALDS finale. With Toronto’s bullpen showing signs of fatigue after a rough Game 3, Polanco should see more hittable pitches, making him a strong value play at +437 as a switch-hitter thriving under pressure.
#### #3. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (+388)
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. rebounded impressively in Game 3, going 4-for-4 with a homer and multiple extra-base hits. Currently swinging the bat with elite authority, Vlad punishes mistakes in the heart of the zone. The Blue Jays’ lineup protection forces pitchers to nibble early, resulting in more hittable counts for a slugger of his caliber. Given his form, +388 represents fair and buyable value when expecting at least one hittable inning.
#### #2. Dalton Varsho (+463)
Dalton Varsho has been a consistent power spark for Toronto all season and is carrying that momentum into the playoffs. In ALDS Game 2, he exploded with a 4-for-5 performance, including two homers, helping push Toronto past the Yankees. His impact continued in ALCS Game 3 with a 2-for-4 showing, a double, and two RBIs to keep Toronto’s offense alive in a critical game. As a lefty hitter with pull power and improving barrels/hard-hit metrics, Varsho is especially dangerous against fastballs or tired bullpen arms—situations that make long-shot home run props pay off.
#### #1. Julio Rodriguez (+415)
Julio Rodriguez has been red-hot this postseason, delivering a 414-foot two-run homer in Game 3 and consistently producing hard contact and timely hits. His elite bat speed and average exit velocity of 91.8 mph make every mistake pitch a potential scoring threat. With Toronto’s bullpen wearing down, Rodriguez remains a prime candidate to go deep again tonight at +415.
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Stay tuned for our experts’ continuous analysis and free tips to help you make informed betting decisions. Good luck!
https://www.sportskeeda.com/baseball/today-s-best-mlb-home-run-prop-bets-top-3-including-julio-rodriguez-teoscar-hernandez-october-15-2025
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